This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
32°C or below
$439 Volume
1%
33°C
$275 Volume
2%
34°C
$1K Volume
6%
35°C
$1K Volume
33%
36°C
$832 Volume
44%
37°C
$1.8K Volume
20%
38°C
$409 Volume
3%
39°C
$155 Volume
1%
40°C
$141 Volume
1%
41°C
$396 Volume
1%
42°C or higher
$552 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 31?
The field is wide open: 36°C tops it at just 43%, with 35°C close behind at 33%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 31?
No strong consensus yet: 36°C tops the implied probabilities at just 43%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 31 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 31?
$36.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 31 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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