This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
22°C or below
$1.1K Volume
1%
23°C
$1.4K Volume
3%
24°C
$2.8K Volume
26%
25°C
$9.3K Volume
43%
26°C
$3.2K Volume
40%
27°C
$3.9K Volume
2%
28°C
$1K Volume
1%
29°C
$598 Volume
1%
30°C
$373 Volume
1%
31°C
$373 Volume
1%
32°C or higher
$1.4K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?
The field is wide open: 25°C tops it at just 41%, with 26°C close behind at 36%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?
Right now the market's best guess is 25°C at 41% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?
Total turnover stands at $99.9K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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