Weather · Paris

Lowest temperature in Paris on July 31?

$15.1K Volume
31/07/2026 12:00
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17°C or below
$1.3K Volume
16%
18°C
$1.1K Volume
54%
19°C
$1.3K Volume
51%
20°C
$249 Volume
8%
21°C
$242 Volume
2%
22°C
$262 Volume
1%
23°C
$173 Volume
1%
24°C
$149 Volume
1%
25°C
$490 Volume
1%
26°C
$311 Volume
1%
27°C or higher
$291 Volume
1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Paris on July 31?
No runaway leader here - 19°C at 45% versus 18°C at 39%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Paris on July 31?
Traders give 19°C a 45% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Lowest temperature in Paris on July 31 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Paris on July 31?
$15.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Paris on July 31 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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