This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
22°C or below
$300 Volume
1%
23°C
$396 Volume
1%
24°C
$230 Volume
1%
25°C
$297 Volume
2%
26°C
$647 Volume
36%
27°C
$1.1K Volume
95%
28°C
$2.9K Volume
1%
29°C
$2K Volume
1%
30°C
$362 Volume
1%
31°C
$300 Volume
1%
32°C or higher
$263 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 31?
27°C leads the field at 78%, with 26°C next at 20%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 31?
Traders lean toward 27°C, pricing it at 78%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 31 market resolve?
Mark 31 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 31?
Traders have put $13.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 31 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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