This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
22°C or below
$102 Volume
1%
23°C
$134 Volume
1%
24°C
$86 Volume
2%
25°C
$173 Volume
4%
26°C
$138 Volume
25%
27°C
$520 Volume
49%
28°C
$710 Volume
24%
29°C
$103 Volume
6%
30°C
$172 Volume
2%
31°C
$102 Volume
1%
32°C or higher
$70 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
It's a genuine race: 27°C edges the field at 49%, barely ahead of 26°C at 25%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
At 49% implied for 27°C, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 market resolve?
Mark 1 Aug 2026 (2 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
Total turnover stands at $12.2K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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