This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
22°C or below
$68 Volume
1%
23°C
$254 Volume
1%
24°C
$235 Volume
3%
25°C
$77 Volume
5%
26°C
$164 Volume
26%
27°C
$1.6K Volume
55%
28°C
$535 Volume
16%
29°C
$67 Volume
3%
30°C
$83 Volume
2%
31°C
$223 Volume
2%
32°C or higher
$46 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 1?
It's a genuine race: 27°C edges the field at 54%, barely ahead of 26°C at 25%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 1?
At 54% implied for 27°C, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 1 market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Aug 2026 (2 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 1?
$22.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 1 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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