This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
21°C or below
$353 Volume
1%
22°C
$511 Volume
1%
23°C
$531 Volume
9%
24°C
$1.5K Volume
55%
25°C
$944 Volume
31%
26°C
$1.5K Volume
17%
27°C
$424 Volume
1%
28°C
$473 Volume
1%
29°C
$326 Volume
1%
30°C
$385 Volume
1%
31°C or higher
$221 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 1?
No runaway leader here - 24°C at 54% versus 25°C at 30%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 1?
At 54% implied for 24°C, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 1 market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Aug 2026 (2 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 1?
$106K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 1 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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