Weather · London

Lowest temperature in London on August 1?

$21.9K Volume
01/08/2026 12:00
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13°C or below
$188 Volume
2%
14°C
$149 Volume
14%
15°C
$379 Volume
32%
16°C
$2K Volume
48%
17°C
$366 Volume
17%
18°C
$123 Volume
2%
19°C
$95 Volume
1%
20°C
$181 Volume
1%
21°C
$181 Volume
1%
22°C
$181 Volume
1%
23°C or higher
$159 Volume
1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in London on August 1?
It's a genuine race: 16°C edges the field at 48%, barely ahead of 15°C at 31%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in London on August 1?
Traders give 16°C a 48% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Lowest temperature in London on August 1 market resolve?
Mark 1 Aug 2026 (2 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in London on August 1?
$21.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in London on August 1 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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