This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
34°C or below
$183 Volume
1%
35°C
$158 Volume
2%
36°C
$33 Volume
7%
37°C
$2.8K Volume
33%
38°C
$397 Volume
51%
39°C
$316 Volume
17%
40°C
$152 Volume
4%
41°C
$59 Volume
1%
42°C
$87 Volume
1%
43°C
$69 Volume
1%
44°C or higher
$106 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Madrid on August 1?
No runaway leader here - 38°C at 50% versus 37°C at 33%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Madrid on August 1?
At 50% implied for 38°C, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Highest temperature in Madrid on August 1 market resolve?
Mark 1 Aug 2026 (2 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Madrid on August 1?
Traders have put $70.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Madrid on August 1 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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