Polymarket Spain predictions: the next election and Pedro Sánchez

The next Spanish general election

Spain has one of the deepest election sets on Polymarket, with dozens of markets. Spain General Election Winner and 2nd Place sit next to seat-count markets for PP, PSOE, Podemos, ERC and BNG, plus questions on whether PP and Vox win a majority or 50% of the vote. There are even winner markets for single provinces such as Lleida, Burgos, Segovia, Málaga, Zamora and Ceuta. On 3 November 2026 the PP was priced at 86.5% to win the most seats.

Next Prime Minister, Sánchez and Puigdemont

Next Prime Minister of Spain?, with over $2.6 million traded, has Alberto Núñez Feijóo as the clear favourite. Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...? offers dates from the end of 2026 to January 2027, and Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...? follows the amnesty and the former Catalan president's return.

What moves the prices and how to use this page

Polls, campaign events, coalition signals from Vox, Junts and the regional parties, and court decisions move these markets. Seat markets react strongly to province-level polling because of how the D'Hondt system allocates seats.

Every price on this page is Polymarket's live order-book price, so 70 cents means the market puts the outcome at roughly 70%. You can follow these markets free and practise trading them with virtual money on polymarkets.co.il.