This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
December 31
$3.8K Volume
30%
Resolved 2
June 30
$12.8K Volume
No
July 31
$1.5K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by?
Yes is priced at 27% and No at 74%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by?
Traders currently imply a 27% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by?
Total traded volume on this market is $18.2K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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