This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Politics
· José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?
December 31, 2026
$587 Volume
11%
Resolved 1
June 30, 2026
$51.2K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by?
Yes is the outsider here at 10%, while No trades at 90%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 10% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (173 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by?
Total turnover stands at $51.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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