This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Politics
· José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?
December 31, 2026
$4.1K Volume
18%
Resolved 1
June 30, 2026
$51.2K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by?
Yes is priced at 15% and No at 85%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by?
Traders currently imply a 15% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by?
Total traded volume on this market is $55.2K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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