Geopolitics · Israel

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

$142.2K Volume
01/01/2027 04:59
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December 31
$53.6K Volume
18%
Resolved 1
June 30
$88.6K Volume
No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by?
The market prices Yes at only 14%, with No at 86%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 14%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Jan 2027 (131 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by?
$142.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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