Geopolitics · Israel

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

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$135.1K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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June 30

$88.6K Volume

December 31

$46.5K Volume

23%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by?

The front-runner right now is December 31 at 17%, ahead of June 30 at 1%. These implied odds update with every trade on Polymarket's order book.

What do traders predict for Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by?

The market gives December 31 a 17% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.

When does the Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by market resolve?

It is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (183 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by?

Total traded volume on this market is $135.1K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.

How can I trade Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by on Polymarket?

Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.