This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS George H.W. Bush (CVN-77) is physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The ship's location will be determined by official information from the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, or U.S. European Command, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The ship's location at the specified time may be established by information published after that time.
Port calls, temporary stops, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will count as being within the area. Port calls, crew liberty, transits, or other movements outside the CENTCOM area of responsibility (e.g., in the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command or U.S. European Command areas of responsibility) will not count, regardless of whether the ship remains assigned to CENTCOM operations or subsequently returns. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, will return, or is assigned to operations in the region will not by themselves establish its location.
In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS George H.W. Bush was within the specified area at the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation of the ship's location at the specified time, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed date. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS George H.W. Bush was within the specified area at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and U.S. European Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.
October 31
$11K Volume
98%
November 30
$3.7K Volume
88%
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on?
The current front-runner is October 31 at 95%, ahead of November 30 at 54%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on?
Traders currently imply a 95% chance for October 31. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Dec 2026 (28 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on?
Total traded volume on this market is $14.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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