This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.
Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
December 31, 2026
$10.5K Volume
3%
Resolved 1
June 30, 2026
$29.7K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Argentina dollarize by?
The market prices Yes at only 3%, with No at 97%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will Argentina dollarize by?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 3%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will Argentina dollarize by market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (162 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will Argentina dollarize by?
Traders have put $40.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will Argentina dollarize by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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