Science · Weather

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

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$30.3K Volume

12/07/2026 23:59

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Past

Jul 5 Jun 28 Jun 21 Jun 15 May 31 May 24 May 17 Apr 26 Apr 19 Apr 12

Jul 12

$1.4K Volume

69%

$54 Volume

31%

$663 Volume

12%

$170 Volume

$711 Volume

$901 Volume

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

The money is on 0 at 68%; 1 follows at 27%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.

What do traders predict for How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

The market makes 0 the favorite at 68%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.

When does the How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12 market resolve?

Mark 12 Jul 2026 (4 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

$30.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.