This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<20
$6.4K Volume
1%
20-39
$26.7K Volume
1%
40-59
$38.5K Volume
1%
60-79
$50.3K Volume
1%
80-99
$34.2K Volume
1%
100-119
$29.1K Volume
1%
120-139
$19.6K Volume
5%
140-159
$10.8K Volume
15%
160-179
$11K Volume
20%
180-199
$8.2K Volume
20%
200-219
$4.2K Volume
17%
220-239
$5.7K Volume
14%
240-259
$4.1K Volume
8%
260-279
$4.9K Volume
4%
280-299
$11.8K Volume
3%
300-319
$8K Volume
1%
320-339
$5.5K Volume
1%
340-359
$11.8K Volume
1%
360-379
$11.5K Volume
1%
380-399
$15.8K Volume
1%
400-419
$11.8K Volume
1%
420-439
$12K Volume
1%
440-459
$1.2K Volume
1%
460-479
$1.5K Volume
1%
480-499
$1.5K Volume
1%
500+
$37.8K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
The field is wide open: 160-179 tops it at just 20%, with 180-199 close behind at 20%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 160-179 at 20% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 25 Aug 2026 (7 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
Total turnover stands at $1.5M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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