This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
2900+
94%
3000+
$36 Volume
94%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
At 93%, 2900+ has pulled far clear of 3000+ (92%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
With 93% implied for 2900+, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Measles cases in U.S. by September 30 market resolve?
Mark 30 Sep 2026 (38 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
Traders have put $1.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Measles cases in U.S. by September 30 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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