This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Natural Disasters
· Weather
· Science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 8 - June 14?
0
$373 Volume
40%
1
$118 Volume
28%
2
9%
3
$2 Volume
5%
4
$175 Volume
2%
5
$337 Volume
1%
>5
$596 Volume
1%
About This Market
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How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?
0
Yes 88¢No 12¢
1
Yes 15¢No 85¢
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?
≤5
Yes 89¢No 11¢
6
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How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)
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Yes 60¢No 40¢
9
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How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
0
Yes 65¢No 35¢
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How many Tornadoes in the US in May?
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Yes 98¢No 2¢
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How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
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Yes 58¢No 42¢
7
Yes 40¢No 60¢
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
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Yes 35¢No 65¢
11–13
Yes 32¢No 68¢
