This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Past
0
$911 Volume
57%
1
$104 Volume
33%
2
$243 Volume
12%
3
$221 Volume
5%
4
$489 Volume
2%
5
$312 Volume
1%
>5
$358 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
No runaway leader here - 0 at 56% versus 1 at 32%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
At 56% implied for 0, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 26 Jul 2026 (5 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
Traders have put $30.1K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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