Measles · Science

Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

View on Polymarket

$4.4K Volume

31/08/2026 23:59

View on Polymarket

View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →

Past

Jul 31 Jun 30 May 31 Apr 30 Mar 31 Feb 28 Jan 31 Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2025

Aug 31 Aug 31 Sep 30 Dec 31

2800+

$668 Volume

99%

2825+

$346 Volume

94%

2850+

$1.3K Volume

95%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

The current front-runner is 2800+ at 99%, ahead of 2825+ at 93%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

Traders currently imply a 99% chance for 2800+. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Measles cases in U.S. by August 31 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Aug 2026 (8 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

Total traded volume on this market is $4.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Measles cases in U.S. by August 31 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.