This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Weather
· climate
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30?
0
$100 Volume
47%
1
$5 Volume
35%
2
$11 Volume
19%
3
$64 Volume
4%
4
$61 Volume
4%
5
$238 Volume
9%
more than 5
$101 Volume
97%
Resolution Source: earthquake.usgs.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30?
It's a genuine race: more than 5 edges the field at 49%, barely ahead of 0 at 46%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30?
At 49% implied for more than 5, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Aug 2026 (9 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30?
$39.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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