Politics · France

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

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$344.6K Volume

01/01/2027 04:59

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August 31, 2026

$3.7K Volume

September 30, 2026

$6.7K Volume

December 31, 2026

$12.9K Volume

29%

Resolved 5

October 31

$159.1K Volume

November 30

$5.2K Volume

December 31, 2025

$129.2K Volume

June 30, 2026

$26.6K Volume

July 31, 2026

$1.2K Volume

On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Lecornu out as French PM by?

The current front-runner is December 31, 2026 at 29%, ahead of September 30, 2026 at 2%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Lecornu out as French PM by?

Traders currently imply a 29% chance for December 31, 2026. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Lecornu out as French PM by market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Lecornu out as French PM by?

Total traded volume on this market is $344.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Lecornu out as French PM by on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.