Politics · France

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

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$329.8K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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July 31, 2026

$899 Volume

December 31, 2026

$8.8K Volume

20%

Resolved 4

October 31

$159.1K Volume

November 30

$5.2K Volume

December 31, 2025

$129.2K Volume

June 30, 2026

$26.6K Volume

On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Lecornu out as French PM by?

The field is wide open: December 31, 2026 tops it at just 19%, with July 31, 2026 close behind at 2%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.

What do traders predict for Lecornu out as French PM by?

No strong consensus yet: December 31, 2026 tops the implied probabilities at just 19%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.

When does the Lecornu out as French PM by market resolve?

The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (173 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Lecornu out as French PM by?

$329.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Lecornu out as French PM by on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.