Politics · Elections

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

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$520.1K Volume

19/04/2027 03:59

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Other

$112 Volume

54%

Marine Le Pen

$31.7K Volume

91%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$32K Volume

55%

Édouard Philippe

$13.8K Volume

25%

David Lisnard

$242.3K Volume

19%

Dominique de Villepin

$2.9K Volume

11%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$15.5K Volume

Gabriel Attal

$8.3K Volume

Jordan Bardella

$25K Volume

François Hollande

$17.6K Volume

Sébastien Lecornu

$3.2K Volume

Bruno Retailleau

$4.3K Volume

Éric Zemmour

$792 Volume

Sarah Knafo

$7.7K Volume

13%

Xavier Bertrand

$2.2K Volume

Laurent Wauquiez

$1K Volume

Manuel Bompard

$7.3K Volume

François Ruffin

$9.4K Volume

Juan Branco

$5.6K Volume

Bernard Cazeneuve

$5.8K Volume

Fabien Roussel

$8.3K Volume

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$2.1K Volume

François Bayrou

$4.4K Volume

Ségolène Royal

$6K Volume

Clémence Guetté

$3.9K Volume

Élisabeth Borne

$7.4K Volume

Gérald Darmanin

$2.8K Volume

François Asselineau

$2.8K Volume

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$4.8K Volume

Michel Barnier

$3.5K Volume

Marine Tondelier

$5.5K Volume

Clémentine Autain

$6K Volume

Olivier Faure

$6.2K Volume

Carole Delga

$11.3K Volume

Mathilde Panot

$1.9K Volume

Jean Castex

$3.4K Volume

Valérie Pécresse

$3.2K Volume

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

The current front-runner is Marine Le Pen at 90%, ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 52%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Traders currently imply a 90% chance for Marine Le Pen. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 19 Apr 2027 (167 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Total traded volume on this market is $520.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.