The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Politics
· Elections
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen
$2.2K Volume
79%
Édouard Philippe
$704 Volume
43%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$1.7K Volume
36%
Gabriel Attal
$859 Volume
15%
Dominique de Villepin
$221 Volume
16%
Other
$112 Volume
54%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$25 Volume
18%
Bruno Retailleau
$428 Volume
10%
David Lisnard
$81 Volume
7%
Jordan Bardella
$15.3K Volume
8%
Sarah Knafo
$743 Volume
8%
Marine Tondelier
$1.2K Volume
4%
Sébastien Lecornu
$77 Volume
6%
Valérie Pécresse
$70 Volume
4%
Laurent Wauquiez
$55 Volume
5%
Clémence Guetté
$81 Volume
5%
Élisabeth Borne
$1.2K Volume
18%
Juan Branco
$137 Volume
6%
Éric Zemmour
$631 Volume
5%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$232 Volume
32%
Ségolène Royal
$1K Volume
5%
Olivier Faure
$129 Volume
4%
Jean Castex
$152 Volume
25%
Manuel Bompard
$1.7K Volume
5%
François Asselineau
$1.7K Volume
2%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$2K Volume
2%
Gérald Darmanin
$968 Volume
2%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$568 Volume
2%
François Bayrou
$12 Volume
4%
Fabien Roussel
$1.1K Volume
5%
François Ruffin
$1.1K Volume
5%
Carole Delga
$1.1K Volume
1%
Xavier Bertrand
$1.5K Volume
2%
François Hollande
$21 Volume
10%
Mathilde Panot
$829 Volume
2%
Clémentine Autain
$494 Volume
6%
Michel Barnier
$971 Volume
2%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen leads the field at 79%, with Édouard Philippe next at 41%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
The market makes Marine Le Pen the favorite at 79%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round market resolve?
The market runs until 30 Apr 2027 (295 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Traders have put $41.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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