The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Politics
· Elections
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen
$9.3K Volume
85%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$6K Volume
49%
Édouard Philippe
$2.2K Volume
40%
Other
$112 Volume
54%
Jordan Bardella
$18.4K Volume
11%
Manuel Bompard
$2.3K Volume
30%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$1.9K Volume
8%
Carole Delga
$1.3K Volume
60%
François Hollande
$5.1K Volume
5%
Dominique de Villepin
$1.1K Volume
5%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$251 Volume
6%
Juan Branco
$2.1K Volume
11%
David Lisnard
$2.4K Volume
3%
Bruno Retailleau
$2K Volume
4%
François Bayrou
$192 Volume
10%
Sébastien Lecornu
$468 Volume
6%
Clémentine Autain
$2K Volume
59%
Gabriel Attal
$2.2K Volume
8%
Olivier Faure
$129 Volume
8%
Élisabeth Borne
$3.4K Volume
8%
Gérald Darmanin
$1.1K Volume
6%
François Asselineau
$1.8K Volume
2%
Mathilde Panot
$829 Volume
6%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$643 Volume
6%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$2K Volume
4%
François Ruffin
$4.8K Volume
3%
Fabien Roussel
$2K Volume
2%
Éric Zemmour
$631 Volume
5%
Michel Barnier
$1K Volume
2%
Ségolène Royal
$3K Volume
2%
Jean Castex
$1.2K Volume
1%
Laurent Wauquiez
$590 Volume
2%
Clémence Guetté
$1.6K Volume
1%
Xavier Bertrand
$1.5K Volume
2%
Valérie Pécresse
$1.3K Volume
1%
Sarah Knafo
$2.7K Volume
2%
Marine Tondelier
$2.9K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen leads the field at 84%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon next at 47%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
The market makes Marine Le Pen the favorite at 84%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round market resolve?
The market runs until 30 Apr 2027 (249 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Traders have put $92.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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