This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French parlimentary election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
December 31, 2026
$3.8K Volume
6%
Resolved 8
September 15
$45.5K Volume
No
October 10
$182.2K Volume
No
October 17
$179K Volume
No
October 31, 2025
$136K Volume
No
November 30, 2025
$17.8K Volume
No
December 31, 2025
$421K Volume
No
June 30, 2026
$102.5K Volume
No
July 31, 2026
$4.5K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for French election called by?
The market prices Yes at only 5%, with No at 95%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for French election called by?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 5%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the French election called by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on French election called by?
$1.1M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade French election called by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
Marine Le Pen31%YesNo
Édouard Philippe25%YesNo
27°C99%YesNo
26°C3%YesNo
27°C37%YesNo
28°C27%YesNo
Jean-Luc Mélenchon97%YesNo
Nathalie Arthaud89%YesNo
125-12825%YesNo
121-12423%YesNo
16°C98%YesNo
14°C1%YesNo
Marine Le Pen84%YesNoJean-Luc Mélenchon50%YesNo
62-6430%YesNo
59-6129%YesNo
