Elections · Global Elections

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

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$47.5K Volume

23/04/2027 00:00

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Raphaël Glucksmann

$3K Volume

88%

Éric Zemmour

$282 Volume

91%

François Hollande

$381 Volume

73%

Sébastien Lecornu

$695 Volume

24%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$93 Volume

46%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$385 Volume

15%

Gérald Darmanin

$171 Volume

15%

Carole Delga

$165 Volume

15%

Dominique de Villepin

$61 Volume

80%

Olivier Faure

$1.8K Volume

24%

Michel Barnier

$192 Volume

12%

Valérie Pécresse

$177 Volume

19%

Jordan Bardella

$3.8K Volume

15%

Jean Castex

$69 Volume

45%

François Bayrou

$509 Volume

11%

Manuel Bompard

$448 Volume

Élisabeth Borne

$298 Volume

Mathilde Panot

$16.1K Volume

Resolved 3

Gabriel Attal

$1.4K Volume

Yes

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$7.1K Volume

Yes

Marine Le Pen

$10.5K Volume

Yes

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Éric Zemmour dominates the field at 87%; the nearest challenger, Raphaël Glucksmann, trades at just 87%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.

What do traders predict for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

With 87% implied for Éric Zemmour, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.

When does the French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026 market resolve?

Mark 23 Apr 2027 (288 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Traders have put $47.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.