Elections · Global Elections

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

View on Polymarket

$70.8K Volume

23/04/2027 00:00

View on Polymarket

View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →

Éric Zemmour

$2.3K Volume

82%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$719 Volume

65%

François Hollande

$1K Volume

36%

Olivier Faure

$2.1K Volume

88%

Dominique de Villepin

$247 Volume

71%

Sébastien Lecornu

$2.5K Volume

15%

François Bayrou

$553 Volume

12%

Michel Barnier

$306 Volume

10%

Mathilde Panot

$17.1K Volume

10%

Jordan Bardella

$4.9K Volume

Carole Delga

$1.2K Volume

Manuel Bompard

$2.9K Volume

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$606 Volume

Jean Castex

$671 Volume

Élisabeth Borne

$320 Volume

25%

Valérie Pécresse

$511 Volume

Gérald Darmanin

$938 Volume

Resolved 4

Gabriel Attal

$1.4K Volume

Yes

Raphaël Glucksmann

$12.7K Volume

Yes

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$7.1K Volume

Yes

Marine Le Pen

$10.5K Volume

Yes

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Éric Zemmour leads the field at 68%, with Olivier Faure next at 59%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.

What do traders predict for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

The market makes Éric Zemmour the favorite at 68%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.

When does the French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026 market resolve?

Mark 23 Apr 2027 (242 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Traders have put $70.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.