This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device at any time between market creation and April 17, 2027, at 11:59 PM Paris time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve solely based on whether Marine Le Pen actually wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device during the specified time frame, regardless of any pending or future appeal, outstanding sentence, change to her candidacy or eligibility status, or other legal proceeding or formality.
Fitness monitoring devices, smartwatches, or other similar consumer-grade wearable technology will not qualify. A brief fitting, test, demonstration, or other non-compulsory use of an electronic monitoring device will not qualify unless Le Pen wears the device as part of an active electronic monitoring measure imposed by a court or other competent legal authority.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
Yes is priced at 18% and No at 83%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
Traders currently imply a 18% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 17 Apr 2027 (237 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
Total traded volume on this market is $2K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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