Politics · Global Elections

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

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$191.9K Volume

17/04/2027 00:00

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6.8K Volume

96%

Nathalie Arthaud

$5.8K Volume

90%

Marine Le Pen

$18K Volume

89%

Édouard Philippe

$11.7K Volume

81%

Éric Zemmour

$2.8K Volume

76%

Fabien Roussel

$2.7K Volume

76%

Bruno Retailleau

$7.1K Volume

75%

Dominique de Villepin

$6.2K Volume

50%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$576 Volume

66%

Gabriel Attal

$6.3K Volume

40%

François Ruffin

$1K Volume

34%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5K Volume

45%

David Lisnard

$5.3K Volume

49%

François Hollande

$5.1K Volume

30%

Marine Tondelier

$2.2K Volume

33%

Sarah Knafo

$4K Volume

22%

Juan Branco

$3.9K Volume

15%

François Asselineau

$5.3K Volume

16%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$4.9K Volume

14%

Matthieu Pigasse

$10.4K Volume

12%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$350 Volume

10%

Philippe de Villiers

$2.9K Volume

10%

Carole Delga

$2.2K Volume

Jordan Bardella

$14.8K Volume

François Bayrou

$5K Volume

10%

Xavier Bertrand

$2.6K Volume

Ségolène Royal

$1.7K Volume

Jérôme Guedj

$2K Volume

Olivier Faure

$1.3K Volume

10%

Jean Castex

$1.8K Volume

Manuel Bompard

$2.8K Volume

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1.6K Volume

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$478 Volume

Gérald Darmanin

$3.5K Volume

Karim Bouamrane

$3.1K Volume

Delphine Batho

$743 Volume

Bally Bagayoko

$1.3K Volume

Manuel Valls

$983 Volume

Laurent Wauquiez

$20K Volume

Teddy Riner

$362 Volume

Clémentine Autain

$1.6K Volume

Sébastien Lecornu

$375 Volume

Mathilde Panot

$1.8K Volume

Élisabeth Borne

$970 Volume

Valérie Pécresse

$592 Volume

Michel Barnier

$2.2K Volume

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon dominates the field at 96%; the nearest challenger, Nathalie Arthaud, trades at just 89%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.

What do traders predict for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Traders price Jean-Luc Mélenchon at a 96% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.

When does the 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 17 Apr 2027 (282 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Traders have put $191.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.