Politics · Global Elections

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

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$309.7K Volume

17/04/2027 00:00

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Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$8.8K Volume

97%

Nathalie Arthaud

$7K Volume

94%

Marine Le Pen

$25.9K Volume

88%

Édouard Philippe

$14.7K Volume

85%

Bruno Retailleau

$9.5K Volume

82%

Fabien Roussel

$3.6K Volume

78%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$10.2K Volume

70%

Éric Zemmour

$8.1K Volume

72%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1.6K Volume

58%

David Lisnard

$7K Volume

54%

Sarah Knafo

$14.6K Volume

41%

François Ruffin

$2K Volume

37%

Gabriel Attal

$10.1K Volume

31%

François Hollande

$11.2K Volume

28%

Dominique de Villepin

$11.6K Volume

28%

Marine Tondelier

$9.3K Volume

26%

Juan Branco

$6.9K Volume

18%

François Asselineau

$9.8K Volume

16%

Xavier Bertrand

$5K Volume

13%

Jordan Bardella

$21.5K Volume

15%

Jérôme Guedj

$4.7K Volume

10%

Manuel Bompard

$3.3K Volume

Karim Bouamrane

$3.1K Volume

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$8K Volume

François Bayrou

$5.1K Volume

Bally Bagayoko

$6.9K Volume

Manuel Valls

$1.1K Volume

Sébastien Lecornu

$1.2K Volume

Matthieu Pigasse

$12.7K Volume

Valérie Pécresse

$681 Volume

Ségolène Royal

$2K Volume

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$2.8K Volume

Delphine Batho

$1.2K Volume

16%

Jean Castex

$3.5K Volume

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$728 Volume

Gérald Darmanin

$4.7K Volume

Teddy Riner

$519 Volume

Philippe de Villiers

$3.9K Volume

Laurent Wauquiez

$20.2K Volume

Olivier Faure

$4.2K Volume

23%

Michel Barnier

$2.5K Volume

Bernard Cazeneuve

$9.9K Volume

10%

Mathilde Panot

$1.9K Volume

Carole Delga

$3.6K Volume

Élisabeth Borne

$1.3K Volume

10%

Clémentine Autain

$1.6K Volume

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon dominates the field at 96%; the nearest challenger, Nathalie Arthaud, trades at just 93%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.

What do traders predict for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Traders price Jean-Luc Mélenchon at a 96% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.

When does the 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 17 Apr 2027 (236 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Traders have put $309.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.