This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French parliament passes a 2027 national budget (Loi de Finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying budget must provide funding for the entire year 2027. Special or emergency funding bills will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Government, specifically the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) (journal-officiel.gouv.fr). However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
The market prices Yes at only 41%, with No at 60%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 41% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will France pass a national budget by December 31 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (174 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
$6.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Will France pass a national budget by December 31 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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