France · Economy

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

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$8.1K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French parliament passes a 2027 national budget (Loi de Finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying budget must provide funding for the entire year 2027. Special or emergency funding bills will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Government, specifically the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) (journal-officiel.gouv.fr). However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Yes is priced at 32% and No at 69%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Traders currently imply a 32% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Will France pass a national budget by December 31 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Total traded volume on this market is $8.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Will France pass a national budget by December 31 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.