KPIs · Tech

How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?

$3.7K Volume
01/03/2027 04:59
View on Polymarket
View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →
<400k
$1.1K Volume
5%
400k to 425k
$1.2K Volume
45%
425k to 450k
$970 Volume
16%
450k to 475k
$908 Volume
18%
475k to 500k
$3K Volume
13%
500k to 525k
$1.8K Volume
16%
525k to 550k
$3.9K Volume
1%
550k to 575k
$501 Volume
4%
575k+
$1K Volume
8%

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026.

If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

Resolution Source: ir.tesla.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?
The current front-runner is 400k to 425k at 30%, ahead of 450k to 475k at 18%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?
Traders currently imply a 30% chance for 400k to 425k. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Mar 2027 (118 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $3.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Similar Markets

86% to 88%46%YesNo
<86%26%YesNo
$2.35B87%YesNo
$2.4B63%YesNo
1% to 2%64%YesNo
0% to 1%17%YesNo
-1.5% to 0%38%YesNo
-3% to -1.5%21%YesNo
85% to 87.5%57%YesNo
87.5% to 90%32%YesNo
21% to 25%75%YesNo
25% to 29%15%YesNo
3% to 5%68%YesNo
5%+27%YesNo
Trade on Polymarket
Start Polymarket Training For Free
Trade prediction markets with virtual money. Real prices, zero risk. Compete on the leaderboard.
$1K
Virtual Cash
500+
Markets
$0
Real Risk
Learn more