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Business prediction markets — stocks, interest rates and inflation

Hoeveel renteverlagingen doet de Fed in 2026?Hoeveel renteverlagingen doet de Fed in 2026?
0 (0 bps)79%JaNee
1 (25 bps)16%JaNee
$41.3M Volume 31/12
Largest Company end of July?Largest Company end of July?
NVIDIANVIDIA84%JaNee
AppleApple10%JaNee
$170.1K Volume 31/07
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceXSpaceX87%JaNee
AnthropicAnthropic13%JaNee
$4.7M Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?
$2.30-$2.6046%JaNee
$2.60-$2.9026%JaNee
$14.7K Volume 31/07
Largest Company end of December 2026?Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIANVIDIA66%JaNee
AlphabetAlphabet16%JaNee
$170.1K Volume 31/12
Slot-marktkapitalisatie van OpenAI-beursgangSlot-marktkapitalisatie van OpenAI-beursgang
1.5T+36%JaNee
1.25T–1.5T22%JaNee
$10.3K Volume 31/12
2nd Largest Company end of July?2nd Largest Company end of July?
AppleApple53%JaNee
AlphabetAlphabet37%JaNee
$8K Volume 31/07
IPOs before 2027?IPOs before 2027?
AnthropicAnthropic64%JaNee
DiscordDiscord45%JaNee
$7.9K Volume 31/12
3rd Largest Company end of July?3rd Largest Company end of July?
AlphabetAlphabet65%JaNee
AppleApple31%JaNee
$4.6K Volume 31/07
OpenAI-IPO vóór ___?OpenAI-IPO vóór ___?
December 31, 202623%JaNee
September 30, 20265%JaNee
$2.5M Volume 31/12
Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Frontier AirlinesFrontier Airlines7%JaNee
JetBlueJetBlue5%JaNee
$125.8K Volume 31/12
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
5%
kans
Ja Nee
$2.8K Volume 31/12
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
GoogleGoogle34%JaNee
OpenAIOpenAI29%JaNee
$2.7K Volume 31/12
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
RBCRBC3%JaNee
BNP ParibasBNP Paribas3%JaNee
$2.6K Volume 31/12
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
MGM ResortsMGM Resorts80%JaNee
Brown-FormanBrown-Forman44%JaNee
$18.1M Volume 31/12
GPU rental prices (B200) end of July?GPU rental prices (B200) end of July?
$5.00-$6.0050%JaNee
$4.00-$5.0043%JaNee
$1.7K Volume 31/07
Slot-marktkapitalisatie van CXMT-beursgangSlot-marktkapitalisatie van CXMT-beursgang
400B+ yuan93%JaNee
<250B yuan3%JaNee
$22.8K Volume 31/12
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Earbuds/Headphones31%JaNee
Glasses18%JaNee
$346.4K Volume 31/12
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
5%
kans
Ja Nee
$93.1K Volume 01/01
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic87%
OpenAI13%
$222K Volume 31/12
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
17%
kans
Ja Nee
$75.7K Volume 31/12
CXMT IPO by __?CXMT IPO by __?
August 3193%JaNee
July 3186%JaNee
$3K Volume 31/08
Bubbel van AI barst tegen...?Bubbel van AI barst tegen...?
December 31, 202550%JaNee
December 31, 202615%JaNee
$2.9M Volume 31/12
US bank failure by July 31? US bank failure by July 31?
15%
kans
Ja Nee
$446 Volume 31/07
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
August 3163%JaNee
July 3131%JaNee
$425 Volume 31/08
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
40%
kans
Ja Nee
$296.6K Volume 31/12
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Andy Jassy - AmazonAndy Jassy - Amazon14%JaNee
Sam Altman - OpenAISam Altman - OpenAI11%JaNee
$700.8K Volume 31/12
GPU-huurprijzen (H200) eind juli?GPU-huurprijzen (H200) eind juli?
$3.00-$4.0045%JaNee
$4.00-$5.0031%JaNee
$346 Volume 31/07
Richest person on December 31, 2026?Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon MuskElon Musk97%JaNee
Warren BuffettWarren Buffett1%JaNee
$276 Volume 31/12
Slot-marktkapitalisatie van Discord-beursgangSlot-marktkapitalisatie van Discord-beursgang
8–11B36%JaNee
17–20B22%JaNee
$113 Volume 31/12
FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch? FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?
66%
kans
Ja Nee
$207 Volume 30/07
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?
9%
kans
Ja Nee
$1.1K Volume 31/12
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31? Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
5%
kans
Ja Nee
$72 Volume 31/07
Amerikaanse recessie vóór eind 2026? Amerikaanse recessie vóór eind 2026?
11%
kans
Ja Nee
$1.7M Volume 31/01
Hoe laag zal het rendement op 10-jarige staatsobligaties worden voor 2027?Hoe laag zal het rendement op 10-jarige staatsobligaties worden voor 2027?
3.9%3.9%31%JaNee
3.8%3.8%27%JaNee
$220K Volume 31/12
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Anthropic acquired before 2027?
4%
kans
Ja Nee
$59 Volume 31/12
FDA approves Sanofi's Subcutaneous Sarclisa? FDA approves Sanofi's Subcutaneous Sarclisa?
66%
kans
Ja Nee
$207 Volume 23/07
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley54%JaNee
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs45%JaNee
$43.5K Volume 31/12
FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010? FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010?
96%
kans
Ja Nee
$207 Volume 29/07
Kraken-IPO vóór ___?Kraken-IPO vóór ___?
December 3150%JaNee
December 31, 202623%JaNee
$1.6M Volume 01/01
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
12%
kans
Ja Nee
$293.3K Volume 31/12
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
75%97%JaNee
80%68%JaNee
$20 Volume 31/12
FDA approves Otsuka's Centanafadine? FDA approves Otsuka's Centanafadine?
74%
kans
Ja Nee
$207 Volume 24/07
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs71%JaNee
Morgan StanleyMorgan Stanley13%JaNee
$31.8K Volume 31/12
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
15%
kans
Ja Nee
$15 Volume 31/12
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
WorkhorseWorkhorse46%JaNee
C3.aiC3.ai46%JaNee
$200.4K Volume 31/12
Slot-marktkapitalisatie van Perplexity-beursgangSlot-marktkapitalisatie van Perplexity-beursgang
No IPO before 202864%JaNee
75B–100B8%JaNee
$144.5K Volume 31/12
OpenAI IPO sluitingsmarktwaarde boven ___ ?OpenAI IPO sluitingsmarktwaarde boven ___ ?
$800B85%JaNee
$1T72%JaNee
$1.5M Volume 31/12
Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?
Mark ZuckerbergMark Zuckerberg11%JaNee
John StantonJohn Stanton8%JaNee
$220.5K Volume 10/09
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
74%
kans
Ja Nee
$7 Volume 31/12
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