This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
<$2.00T
$141 Volume
13%
$2.00-$2.50T
$125 Volume
12%
$2.50-$3.00T
$455 Volume
23%
$3.00-$3.50T
$121 Volume
21%
$3.50-$4.00T
$146 Volume
12%
$4.00-$4.50T
$125 Volume
6%
$4.50T+
$130 Volume
14%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - $2.50-$3.00T trades at 23%, $3.00-$3.50T at 20%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is $2.50-$3.00T at 23% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (144 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?
Traders have put $1.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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