This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
The market prices Yes at only 7%, with No at 93%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 7% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Fed emergency rate cut before 2027 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Traders have put $25 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Fed emergency rate cut before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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