Economy · Business

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

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$220.1K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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1.0%

$40.5K Volume

2.0%

$384 Volume

10%

3.0%

$755 Volume

3.5%

$32.4K Volume

3.6%

$5.1K Volume

18%

3.7%

$26.8K Volume

21%

3.8%

$40.7K Volume

31%

3.9%

$41.7K Volume

35%

Resolved 1

4.0%

$31.8K Volume

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

The field is wide open: 3.9% tops it at just 31%, with 3.8% close behind at 27%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.

What do traders predict for How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

No strong consensus yet: 3.9% tops the implied probabilities at just 31%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.

When does the How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027 market resolve?

Mark 31 Dec 2026 (173 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Total turnover stands at $220.1K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.