Economy · Business

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

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$225.4K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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1.0%

$40.6K Volume

2.0%

$564 Volume

3.0%

$917 Volume

3.5%

$33.1K Volume

3.6%

$5.6K Volume

3.7%

$27.4K Volume

3.8%

$41.3K Volume

3.9%

$44.2K Volume

11%

Resolved 1

4.0%

$31.8K Volume

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

The current front-runner is 3.9% at 10%, ahead of 3.6% at 5%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Traders currently imply a 10% chance for 3.9%. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Total traded volume on this market is $225.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027 on Polymarket?

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