This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
December 31, 2026
$557.7K Volume
16%
Resolved 2
December 31
$494.5K Volume
No
March 31, 2026
$545.6K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Kraken IPO by ___?
Even the leader is cheap - December 31, 2026 trades at 16%, June 30 at 1%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Kraken IPO by ___?
No strong consensus yet: December 31, 2026 tops the implied probabilities at just 16%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Kraken IPO by ___ market resolve?
Mark 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Kraken IPO by ___?
$1.6M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Kraken IPO by ___ on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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