This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Yes is priced at 14% and No at 86%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Traders currently imply a 14% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Total traded volume on this market is $100.3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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