Science · Weather

Precipitation in London in August?

View on Polymarket

$259 Volume

01/09/2026 03:59

View on Polymarket

View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →

Sep 1 Sep 1 Sep 1 Sep 1 Sep 1

30-40mm

$143 Volume

35%

40-50mm

$113 Volume

51%

50-60mm

$119 Volume

26%

60-70mm

$6.1K Volume

23%

70-80mm

$136 Volume

23%

<30mm

$635 Volume

69%

80mm+

$304 Volume

15%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in August, 2026, according to the Met Office.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.

If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Precipitation in London in August?

The current front-runner is <30mm at 56%, ahead of 40-50mm at 39%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Precipitation in London in August?

Traders currently imply a 56% chance for <30mm. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Precipitation in London in August market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Sep 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Precipitation in London in August?

Total traded volume on this market is $259, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Precipitation in London in August on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.