This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in August, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of August at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
150-200mm
$2 Volume
90%
200-250mm
$2 Volume
88%
250-300mm
$38 Volume
82%
300-350mm
$41 Volume
90%
350-400mm
$63 Volume
50%
400-500mm
$60 Volume
40%
<150mm
$2 Volume
88%
500mm+
$164 Volume
42%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Precipitation in Seoul in August?
The current front-runner is 150-200mm at 46%, ahead of 300-350mm at 46%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Precipitation in Seoul in August?
Traders currently imply a 46% chance for 150-200mm. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Precipitation in Seoul in August market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Sep 2026 (8 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Precipitation in Seoul in August?
Total traded volume on this market is $2.3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Precipitation in Seoul in August on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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