This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between August 1 and August 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
425-450mm
$370 Volume
9%
450-475mm
$699 Volume
21%
475-500mm
$404 Volume
30%
500-525mm
$268 Volume
29%
525-550mm
$318 Volume
17%
550-600mm
$283 Volume
9%
600-650mm
$459 Volume
3%
650-700mm
$465 Volume
14%
<425mm
$4.4K Volume
92%
700mm+
$2.1K Volume
3%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
The money is on <425mm at 82%; 475-500mm follows at 15%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
Traders lean toward <425mm, pricing it at 82%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Precipitation in Hong Kong in August market resolve?
Mark 1 Sep 2026 (8 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
Total turnover stands at $9.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Precipitation in Hong Kong in August on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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