Science · Weather

Precipitation in NYC in August?

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$2.3K Volume

01/09/2026 03:59

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Sep 1 Sep 1 Sep 1 Sep 1 Sep 1

<2"

$1.1K Volume

2-3"

$454 Volume

3-4"

$137 Volume

4-5"

$147 Volume

5-6"

$190 Volume

>6"

$435 Volume

97%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for August 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026.

If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Precipitation in NYC in August?

The current front-runner is >6" at 93%, ahead of 4-5" at 3%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Precipitation in NYC in August?

Traders currently imply a 93% chance for >6". Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Precipitation in NYC in August market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Sep 2026 (8 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Precipitation in NYC in August?

Total traded volume on this market is $2.3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Precipitation in NYC in August on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.