Israel Prediction Markets

Israel prediction markets cover the central scenarios: election outcomes, coalition composition, PM tenure, security and war events, and macro-economic developments. Polymarket prices in real time based on order-book depth.

These markets are especially active around decision dates - election day, security cabinet meetings, government sessions. Volume reflects global interest in the events.

15 active markets
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US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%YesNo
August 25August 2599%YesNo
$2.4M Volume 30/09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 3197%YesNo
September 3088%YesNo
$26.3M Volume 31/08
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot59%YesNo
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu27%YesNo
$33M Volume 31/12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%
chance
Yes No
$61K Volume 31/12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7%
chance
Yes No
$44K Volume 31/12
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
September 3010%YesNo
August 312%YesNo
$27.4M Volume 01/10
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3127%YesNo
October 3113%YesNo
$6.8M Volume 01/01
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 3150%YesNo
November 3050%YesNo
$3.6M Volume 01/01
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia10%YesNo
VenezuelaVenezuela10%YesNo
$5.6K Volume 31/12
Netanyahu out by...?Netanyahu out by...?
December 3149%YesNo
May 311%YesNo
$4.8K Volume 01/01
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 3196%YesNo
September 3093%YesNo
$348.7K Volume 01/01
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
17%
chance
Yes No
$5.3K Volume 31/12
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
August 319%
September 3081%
$3.4K Volume 01/10
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
16%
chance
Yes No
$1.9K Volume 31/12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 3110%YesNo
September 302%YesNo
$8.4M Volume 01/01
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Israel Markets FAQ

What Israel markets exist on Polymarket?

Election markets (who wins? seat counts), coalition formation, PM actions, security events, and economic decisions (rate cuts, law changes). Binary and multi-outcome contracts.

What moves Israel market prices?

Polls, political statements, security developments and media reporting. Prices react within minutes to significant news.

Can I trade from Israel?

Yes, via Polymarket's Polygon account. Track live markets on our site and open an account through our referral link.

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