This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No”.
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
↑ 1T yuan
$2.7K Volume
99%
↑ 1.5T yuan
$5K Volume
95%
↑ 2T yuan
$5.6K Volume
90%
↑ 2.5T yuan
$6.6K Volume
76%
↑ 3T yuan
$682 Volume
56%
↑ 3.5T yuan
$208 Volume
34%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
At 99%, ↑ 1T yuan has pulled far clear of ↑ 1.5T yuan (95%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
With 99% implied for ↑ 1T yuan, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap Above __ market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (162 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
$23K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap Above __ on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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