gpt · Anthropic

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31? (Resolved)

$3.2K Volume
31/12/2025 00:00
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Yes
$537.4K Volume
1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches an Arena Score of 1500+ by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Results from the “Arena Score” section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at https://lmarena.ai/. If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

Odds & FAQ

When does the Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31? (Resolved) market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31? (Resolved)?
Traders have put $3.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

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