Tech · AI

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

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$288 Volume

30/09/2026 00:00

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Past

Jun 30 Dec 31, 2025

Sep 30

1520

$28.8K Volume

11%

1530

$20.9K Volume

1540

$10.6K Volume

1550

$11.9K Volume

Resolved 1

1510

$80.7K Volume

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

The current front-runner is 1520 at 10%, ahead of 1540 at 5%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

Traders currently imply a 10% chance for 1520. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 30 Sep 2026 (36 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

Total traded volume on this market is $288, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.