Tech · AI

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

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$3.6K Volume

30/09/2026 00:00

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Past

Jun 30 Dec 31, 2025

Sep 30

1510

$44.7K Volume

56%

1520

$18K Volume

31%

1530

$9.9K Volume

16%

1540

$6.6K Volume

12%

1550

$10.1K Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

No runaway leader here - 1510 at 56% versus 1520 at 29%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.

What do traders predict for Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

At 56% implied for 1510, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.

When does the Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30 market resolve?

The market runs until 30 Sep 2026 (82 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

Total turnover stands at $3.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.