OpenAI · AI

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

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$116.9K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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None in 2026

$25.5K Volume

85%

Anthropic

$14.4K Volume

14%

Google

$11.2K Volume

OpenAI

$13.6K Volume

Alibaba

$11K Volume

xAI

$9.2K Volume

DeepSeek

$13K Volume

Z.ai

$9.5K Volume

Mistral

$9.5K Volume

This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market.

If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026".

If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

Analysis & News

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

The current front-runner is None in 2026 at 84%, ahead of Anthropic at 13%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Traders currently imply a 84% chance for None in 2026. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Total traded volume on this market is $116.9K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.