This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market.
If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026".
If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
None in 2026
$24.3K Volume
81%
Anthropic
$12.2K Volume
13%
Google
$10.7K Volume
5%
OpenAI
$12.9K Volume
5%
DeepSeek
$11.4K Volume
1%
Z.ai
$8.8K Volume
1%
xAI
$8.5K Volume
1%
Alibaba
$10.6K Volume
1%
Mistral
$9.4K Volume
1%
Analysis & News
World Cup 2026 Dark Horses: Traders Give 32% That a First-Time Champion Lifts the Trophy
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
None in 2026 leads the field at 80%, with Anthropic next at 12%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Traders lean toward None in 2026, pricing it at 80%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (174 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$108.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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