This market will resolve to the number of calendar days during the specified month (ET) on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage'.
ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on a given day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once all qualifying day’s status boxes are finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance").
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
This market will remain open until all qualifying day’s status boxes are finalized. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve once all relevant days are finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Past
<3
$3.4K Volume
95%
3
$1.1K Volume
6%
4
$1.2K Volume
3%
5
$455 Volume
2%
6+
$1.7K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for # of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?
The current front-runner is <3 at 94%, ahead of 3 at 3%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for # of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?
Traders currently imply a 94% chance for <3. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the # of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Aug 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on # of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $430, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade # of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
↑$1.25T98%YesNo
↑$1.5T93%YesNo
1.5T+48%YesNo
1T–1.25T17%YesNo
$1.75–$2.0T19%YesNo
$2.25–$2.5T18%YesNo
December 31, 202670%YesNo
November 30, 202655%YesNo
1.8T+86%YesNo
1.5–1.8T9%YesNo





