This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
1510
$13.2K Volume
1%
1520
$13.3K Volume
1%
1530
$10.7K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
When does the Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by June 30? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by June 30? (Resolved)?
Traders have put $6.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
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