This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trump
· Politics
· Fed Rates
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
$14.4M Volume
99%
Judy Shelton
$24M Volume
1%
Kevin Hassett
$2.1M Volume
1%
Christopher Waller
$2.2M Volume
1%
Jerome Powell
$2.7M Volume
1%
Stephen Miran
$1.7M Volume
1%
Scott Bessent
$4.7M Volume
1%
Michelle Bowman
$10.6M Volume
1%
Rick Reider
$2.1M Volume
1%
Other
50%
Person B
50%
Person C
50%
Person D
50%
Person E
50%
Person F
50%
Person G
50%
Person H
50%
Person I
50%
Person J
50%
Person K
50%
Person L
50%
Person M
50%
Person N
50%
Person O
50%
Person P
50%
Person Q
50%
Person R
50%
Person S
50%
Person T
50%
Person U
50%
Person V
50%
Person W
50%
Person X
50%
Person Y
50%
Person Z
50%
About This Market
AI Analysis
The prediction market for the next Federal Reserve Chair shows a strong consensus, with a current probability of 93.8% favoring a specific nominee. With a trading volume of $33.4 million, this market reflects the high stakes involved in the Senate's confirmation process, as the Chair plays a crucial role in shaping U.S. monetary policy. Understanding these dynamics is essential for investors and policymakers alike, as the Fed's leadership can significantly influence economic conditions and market performance.
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