This market will resolve to โYesโ if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to โNoโ.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Fed rate hike by...?
fomc
Inflation
Fed
Jerome Powell
Finance
Yes Probability
4%
No Probability
96%
Trading Volume
$8.8K
Time Remaining
190 days left
September Meeting
$33 Volume
8%
July Meeting
$671 Volume
5%
October Meeting
$374 Volume
9%
June Meeting
$9.6K Volume
2%
April Meeting
$31K Volume
1%