This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
fomc
· Inflation
· Fed
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
$2.7K Volume
31%
September Meeting
$4K Volume
16%
July Meeting
$2.5K Volume
3%
June Meeting
$16.3K Volume
1%
Resolved 1
April Meeting
$131.3K Volume
No
About This Market
Similar Markets
Fed Decision in June?
No change
Yes 99¢No 1¢
25 bps decrease
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Fed Decision in July?
No change
Yes 94¢No 6¢
25 bps increase
Yes 4¢No 96¢
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Pause–Pause–Pause
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Other
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Fed Decision in September?
No change
Yes 76¢No 24¢
25 bps increase
Yes 19¢No 81¢
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0
Yes 74¢No 26¢
1
Yes 12¢No 88¢
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Pause–Pause–Pause
Yes 59¢No 41¢
Pause–Pause–Cut
Yes 24¢No 76¢
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause
Yes 93¢No 7¢
Other
Yes 6¢No 94¢
