This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
25°C or below
$2.3K Volume
1%
26°C
$7K Volume
3%
27°C
$10.3K Volume
9%
28°C
$10.3K Volume
34%
29°C
$10.2K Volume
38%
30°C
$7.8K Volume
17%
31°C
$7.9K Volume
6%
32°C
$7.8K Volume
2%
33°C
$4.2K Volume
1%
34°C
$4.1K Volume
1%
35°C or higher
$891 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 27?
The field is wide open: 29°C tops it at just 38%, with 28°C close behind at 34%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 27?
No strong consensus yet: 29°C tops the implied probabilities at just 38%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 27 market resolve?
Mark 27 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 27?
$188.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 27 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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